Performance Beat on Better Volume & Cost Reduction Ambuja Cements (ACEM) has delivered a strong performance in 4QCY19, which was ahead of our estimates, mainly led by higher-than-expected sales volume and cost reduction. Reported EBITDA grew by stellar 47% YoY to Rs4.5bn (excluding Rs979mn other operation income) vs. our estimate of Rs4bn, while EBITDA/tonne stood at Rs687 vs. Rs498 and Rs707 in 4QCY18 and 3QCY19, respectively. Sales volume grew by a strong6.7% YoY to 6.54mnT (vs. our estimate of 6.3mnT), while average realisation declined by 5% QoQ (+3% YoY) to Rs4,645/tonne. A meaningful sequential reduction in operating cost/tonne to Rs3,958 (-1.4% YoY and -5.3%...
Performance Beat on Better Volume & Cost Reduction Ambuja Cements (ACEM) has delivered a strong performance in 4QCY19, which was ahead of our estimates, mainly led by higher-than-expected sales volume and cost reduction. Reported EBITDA grew by stellar 47% YoY to Rs4.5bn (excluding Rs979mn other operation income) vs. our estimate of Rs4bn, while EBITDA/tonne stood at Rs687 vs. Rs498 and Rs707 in 4QCY18 and 3QCY19, respectively. Sales volume grew by a strong6.7% YoY to 6.54mnT (vs. our estimate of 6.3mnT), while average realisation declined by 5% QoQ (+3% YoY) to Rs4,645/tonne. A meaningful sequential reduction in operating cost/tonne to Rs3,958 (-1.4% YoY and -5.3%...
KNR Constructions (KNRC) continued to report robust operating performance in 3QFY20 despite lower-than-expected revenue booking. While revenue grew by 24% YoY to Rs5.6bn vs. our estimate of Rs6bn, EBITDA witnessed a stellar 38% YoY growth to Rs1.24bn vs. our estimate of Rs1.09bn. Adjusted for Rs37mn claim received for arbitration claim under revenue, EBITDA margin stood higher at 21.6% vs. 20.1% in 3QFY19 and 19.7% in 2QFY20. A meaningful increase in depreciation (led by higher capex in irrigation) and interest expenditures (due to mobilisation advances) and lower other income resulted in muted PBT of Rs588mn (-1% YoY and -35% QoQ). Further, KNRC's adjusted PAT declined by 14% YoY to Rs445mn owing to higher tax expenses....
Strong Operating Performance despite Dismal Show by Power Division Shree Cement (SRCM) has reported a strong operating performance in 3QFY20 albeit missing our estimates. EBITDA grew by 20% YoY to Rs8.5bn (vs. our estimate of Rs9bn), while EBITDA/ tonne remained strong at Rs1,365/tonne vs. Rs1,067 in 3QFY19 and Rs1,451 in 2QFY19. Sales volume grew by 5.3% YoY to 6.25mnT, while average realisation stood at Rs4,512/tonne (+4.6% YoY and -3% QoQ) slightly below our estimate of Rs4,540. Operating cost/tonne for cement declined by 3% YoY and 1.7% QoQ to Rs3,147 (-3% YoY and -1.7% QoQ) mainly led by steep decline in input cost/tonne entailed by reduction in fuel cost. However, its power division has...
M&HCVs; Volume Bottoming Out; Recovery Likely by mid-FY21E Led by significantly lower volume, Ramkrishna Forgings (RMKF) has delivered a highly disappointing performance in 3QFY20 with its PAT falling by 95% YoY to Rs17mn (vs. our estimate of Rs33mn). Its revenue declined by 49% YoY and 3% QoQ to Rs2.5bn (vs. our estimate of Rs2.8bn), while its volume declined by 50% YoY (+1% QoQ) to 18,730 tons owing to sharp decline in M&HCV; sales in the wake of higher axle load norm and ongoing economic slowdown. While EBITDA dropped by 55% YoY (+0.5% QoQ) to Rs475mn (slipping our estimate by 7.6%), EBIDTA margin contracted by 270bps YoY (+69bps QoQ) to 18.8% owing to 722bps YoY (+93bps QoQ)...
Dismal Performance with No Improvement in GRM; Maintain REDUCE Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (BPCL) has delivered a disappointing performance in 3QFY20. It reported GRM of US$3.23/bbl below ours/consensus estimates of US$4.1/bbl. Petrol/diesel sales volume grew by 5.9%/(1.6%) YoY lower than the industry growth rate of 7.1%/0.2%. It clearly implies that BPCL has lost market share to private retailers during the quarter. EBITDA increased by 248% YoY and 14% QoQ to Rs 27bn (6% below the consensus estimate/8% higher than our estimate) mainly due to 12% YoY growth in crude throughput of refineries, comparative higher YoY GRM and improved net marketing margin on diesel. Net profit grew by 155% YoY (down 26%...
Revenue from pharma business grew by 3% YoY. Notably, the segment recorded its highest therapies i.e. antihypertensive, cardiovascular, oncology and corticosteroids etc. The company also has a strong pipeline of approvals and visibility to maintain growth momentum. Segmental EBIT grew by 20% YoY in 3QFY20, and we expect similar growth in 4QFY20E as well. Specialty Chemical Biz Slight Decline in Margin...
Near-term Outlook Disappointing; but Up-Cycle to Begin in mid-FY21E Ashok Leyland (ALL) has delivered a disappointing operating performance in 3QFY20 with its EBIDTA margin coming in at 5.6% (down 466bps and 21bps QoQ) vs. our estimate of 6.5% due to lower realisation, sharp double-digit decline in volume and all-time high discounts. Total volume declined by 29% YoY (+8% QoQ) to 31,205 units. Its Revenue, EBIDTA and PAT declined by 37% YoY (+2% QoQ), 65% YoY (-2% QoQ) and 92% YoY (-65% QoQ) to Rs40.2bn, Rs2.3bn and Rs293mn vs. our estimates of Rs44.9bn, Rs2.9bn and Rs1.1bn, respectively. Higher interest outgo and higher tax rate impacted net profit. Though we expect similar slowdown to continue...
NCC Ltd (NJCC) has reported a weak performance in 3QFY20 owing to muted revenue booking led by project cancellation and absence of convincing pick-up in construction activities post monsoon. Reported revenue declined by 34% YoY to Rs21.2bn vs. our estimate of Rs24.5bn, while EBITDA witnessed a de-growth of 36% YoY to Rs2.5bn. EBITDA margin contracted by 36bps YoY and 165bps QoQ to 11.8%. Adjusted profit declined by a sharp 66% YoY (10% QoQ) to Rs543mn mainly led by soft execution. Notably, NJCC has set aside slow-moving and likelyto-be-cancelled projects worth Rs71.3bn from its order backlog in order to have a clear visibility of revenue booking from the ongoing projects. Therefore, its current order backlog stands at Rs250.5bn, which is 2.7x TTM revenue and still gives decent revenue visibility. Going forward,...
JK Tyre (JKI) has delivered a muted operating performance in 3QFY20 with its consolidated EBIDTA margin contracting by 265bps QoQ (+139bps YoY) to 11.1%. Its consolidated revenue declined by 19%YoY (+2% QoQ) to Rs22bn (vs. our estimate of Rs22.97bn), while EBIDTA fell 8% YoY and 18% QoQ to Rs2.4bn (vs. our estimate of Rs2.9bn). However, EBIT margin of Maxico business contracted 1223bps YoY and 431bps QoQ to 0.7%. Reported PAT came in at Rs110mn, While adjusted PAT, excluding extraordinary gain, declined significantly by 73% YoY and 95% QoQ to Rs104mn, vs. our estimate of Rs552mn. Its volume increased in replacement segment supported by ramp-up in 2W/3W segment, while OEM sales declined in higher double-digit...
